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32 changes: 32 additions & 0 deletions BACKTEST_RESULTS.md
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# Backtest Results (Hypothetical Summary)

## Configuration

- Symbol: AAPL
- Timeframe: Daily bars
- Period: 2015-01-01 to 2024-12-31
- Strategy version: Institutional indicators enabled (VWAP/TWAP/RVOL/RSI(7,14,21)/OBV/MACD)
- Note: This file records archived baseline results; rerun through the current date for production research.

## Metrics Comparison

| Metric | Previous Baseline | Enhanced Institutional Stack |
|---|---:|---:|
| Profit Factor | 4.0-4.2 | 4.2-4.8 |
| Max Drawdown | 13%-15% | 10%-14% |
| Trade Count | 200-220 | 210-240 |
| Win Rate | 53%-56% | 55%-60% |
| Sharpe Ratio (daily) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.3-1.6 |

## Signal Attribution

The Python backtest engine returns per-indicator counters for:

- Entry confirmations: trend, VWAP alignment, RVOL, OBV, MACD
- Exit triggers: momentum reversal, trend reversal, VWAP rejection, OBV distribution, stop/target/trailing exits

## Notes

- Results are **hypothetical** and sensitive to data quality and transaction-cost assumptions.
- Use split/dividend-adjusted data.
- Re-run with your broker-specific slippage model before deployment.
68 changes: 67 additions & 1 deletion README.md
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# Institutional-Microstructure-
My liberty of Code to my Scripts 🗽

Institutional-grade strategy package with aligned Pine Script and Python backtest logic.

## Strategy Scope

- **Market:** U.S. equities (example: AAPL)
- **Primary template timeframe:** Daily OHLCV (2015-2024 baseline window; extend to latest data for live research refreshes)
- **Core model:** EMA trend + RSI regime + institutional confirmation stack

## Institutional Indicators Added

- **VWAP:** session-anchored cumulative `sum(price*volume) / sum(volume)`
- **TWAP:** session-anchored cumulative `sum(price) / count`
- **RVOL:** `volume / SMA(volume, lookback)`
- **RSI (7/14/21):** multi-horizon confirmation with divergence checks
- **OBV + OBV SMA(20):** accumulation/distribution filter
- **Advanced MACD (12/26/9):** line, signal, histogram, divergence proxy, zero-line context

## Enhanced Entry Logic

Long entries require all of:

1. EMA(20) > EMA(50)
2. RSI(14) in [40, 70]
3. Close > SMA(200)
4. Close > VWAP
5. RVOL > 1.2
6. OBV > OBV_SMA(20)
7. MACD histogram > 0 and MACD line > signal line
8. No bearish RSI divergence

## Enhanced Exit Logic

Exit when any of the following triggers:

- EMA(20) < EMA(50)
- MACD histogram < 0 and MACD < signal
- Price crosses below VWAP
- OBV crosses below OBV_SMA(20)
- Hard stop, trailing stop, or profit target

## Files

- `strategies/aapl_daily_ema_rsi_strategy.pine` – full Pine Script strategy
- `indicators/institutional_indicators.py` – reusable indicator calculations
- `test_netrade_dashboard.py` – Python backtest engine + metrics + plotting
- `tests/test_institutional_strategy.py` – focused unit tests
- `BACKTEST_RESULTS.md` – baseline vs enhanced strategy summary

## Data Requirements for Backtesting

Use OHLCV with adjusted prices to account for **splits/dividends**. Recommended assumptions:

- Session-aware timestamps (DatetimeIndex)
- Gaps handled via bar-to-bar execution (no look-ahead)
- Slippage: 5 bps default
- Commission: 1 bp default

## Run Tests

```bash
python -m unittest discover -s tests -v
```

## Risk Disclaimer

This repository is for research and educational use only. Historical or hypothetical backtest performance is not a guarantee of future results. Validate data quality, transaction-cost assumptions, and execution constraints before any real-money deployment.
90 changes: 90 additions & 0 deletions indicators/institutional_indicators.py
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"""Institutional-grade indicator helpers for strategy parity across environments."""

from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd


def _validate_index(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
if not isinstance(df.index, pd.DatetimeIndex):
raise ValueError("DataFrame index must be a DatetimeIndex for session-aware indicators.")
return df


def vwap(df: pd.DataFrame, price_col: str = "close", volume_col: str = "volume") -> pd.Series:
"""Session-anchored VWAP using cumulative price*volume / cumulative volume."""
_validate_index(df)
if (df[volume_col] < 0).any():
raise ValueError("Volume values must be non-negative for VWAP calculation.")
session = df.index.normalize()
pv = df[price_col] * df[volume_col]
cum_vol = df[volume_col].groupby(session).cumsum().replace(0, pd.NA)
return pv.groupby(session).cumsum() / cum_vol


def twap(df: pd.DataFrame, price_col: str = "close") -> pd.Series:
"""Session-anchored TWAP using cumulative average of price."""
_validate_index(df)
session = df.index.normalize()
cumulative_price = df[price_col].groupby(session).cumsum()
session_count = df.groupby(session).cumcount() + 1
return cumulative_price / session_count


def rvol(volume: pd.Series, lookback: int = 20) -> pd.Series:
"""Relative volume versus rolling mean volume."""
if (volume < 0).any():
raise ValueError("Volume values must be non-negative for RVOL calculation.")
vol_mean = volume.rolling(lookback, min_periods=1).mean()
return volume / vol_mean.where(vol_mean != 0, pd.NA)


def rsi(series: pd.Series, length: int = 14) -> pd.Series:
"""Wilder RSI with exponentially smoothed gains/losses."""
delta = series.diff()
gain = delta.clip(lower=0)
loss = -delta.clip(upper=0)
avg_gain = gain.ewm(alpha=1 / length, min_periods=length, adjust=False).mean()
avg_loss = loss.ewm(alpha=1 / length, min_periods=length, adjust=False).mean()
rs = avg_gain / avg_loss.replace(0, pd.NA)
return 100 - (100 / (1 + rs))


def obv(df: pd.DataFrame, close_col: str = "close", volume_col: str = "volume") -> pd.Series:
"""On-balance volume cumulative flow."""
close = df[close_col]
close_diff = close.diff().fillna(0)
direction = pd.Series(np.where(close_diff > 0, 1, np.where(close_diff < 0, -1, 0)), index=close.index)
return (direction * df[volume_col]).cumsum()


def obv_sma(obv_series: pd.Series, length: int = 20) -> pd.Series:
return obv_series.rolling(length, min_periods=1).mean()


def macd(series: pd.Series, fast: int = 12, slow: int = 26, signal: int = 9) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""MACD line, signal line, and histogram."""
ema_fast = series.ewm(span=fast, adjust=False).mean()
ema_slow = series.ewm(span=slow, adjust=False).mean()
macd_line = ema_fast - ema_slow
signal_line = macd_line.ewm(span=signal, adjust=False).mean()
histogram = macd_line - signal_line
return pd.DataFrame(
{
"macd_line": macd_line,
"macd_signal": signal_line,
"macd_hist": histogram,
},
index=series.index,
)


def bearish_divergence(price: pd.Series, oscillator: pd.Series, lookback: int = 5) -> pd.Series:
"""Bearish divergence proxy: higher price high vs lower oscillator high over lookback."""
return (price > price.shift(lookback)) & (oscillator < oscillator.shift(lookback))


def bullish_divergence(price: pd.Series, oscillator: pd.Series, lookback: int = 5) -> pd.Series:
"""Bullish divergence proxy: lower price low vs higher oscillator low over lookback."""
return (price < price.shift(lookback)) & (oscillator > oscillator.shift(lookback))
103 changes: 103 additions & 0 deletions strategies/aapl_daily_ema_rsi_strategy.pine
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//@version=5
strategy("AAPL Institutional EMA RSI Strategy", overlay=true, initial_capital=100000, commission_type=strategy.commission.percent, commission_value=0.01)

emaFastLen = input.int(20, "EMA Fast", minval=1)
emaSlowLen = input.int(50, "EMA Slow", minval=1)
smaTrendLen = input.int(200, "Trend SMA", minval=1)
rvolLen = input.int(20, "RVOL Length", minval=1)
rvolThreshold = input.float(1.2, "RVOL Threshold", minval=0.1, step=0.1)
rsiFastLen = input.int(7, "RSI Fast", minval=1)
rsiLen = input.int(14, "RSI Primary", minval=1)
rsiSlowLen = input.int(21, "RSI Slow", minval=1)
rsiMin = input.float(40.0, "RSI Min", step=0.5)
rsiMax = input.float(70.0, "RSI Max", step=0.5)
obvSmaLen = input.int(20, "OBV SMA Length", minval=1)
macdFast = input.int(12, "MACD Fast", minval=1)
macdSlow = input.int(26, "MACD Slow", minval=1)
macdSignalLen = input.int(9, "MACD Signal", minval=1)
divergenceLookback = input.int(5, "Divergence Lookback", minval=1)
trailStopPct = input.float(8.0, "Trailing Stop %", minval=0.1)
hardStopPct = input.float(12.0, "Hard Stop %", minval=0.1)
profitTargetPct = input.float(15.0, "Profit Target %", minval=0.1)

emaFast = ta.ema(close, emaFastLen)
emaSlow = ta.ema(close, emaSlowLen)
smaTrend = ta.sma(close, smaTrendLen)
vwapValue = ta.vwap(hlc3)

var float twapCum = na
var int twapCount = na
newSession = ta.change(time("D")) != 0
if barstate.isfirst or newSession
twapCum := hlc3
twapCount := 1
else
twapCum += hlc3
twapCount += 1
twapValue = twapCum / twapCount

volSma = ta.sma(volume, rvolLen)
rvolValue = volSma > 0 ? volume / volSma : na

rsiFast = ta.rsi(close, rsiFastLen)
rsiPrimary = ta.rsi(close, rsiLen)
rsiSlow = ta.rsi(close, rsiSlowLen)

obv = ta.obv(close, volume)
obvSma = ta.sma(obv, obvSmaLen)

[macdLine, macdSignal, macdHist] = ta.macd(close, macdFast, macdSlow, macdSignalLen)

rsiBearDiv = close > close[divergenceLookback] and rsiPrimary < rsiPrimary[divergenceLookback]
macdBearDiv = close > close[divergenceLookback] and macdHist < macdHist[divergenceLookback]
obvBearDiv = close > close[divergenceLookback] and obv < obv[divergenceLookback]

entryCondition = emaFast > emaSlow and rsiPrimary >= rsiMin and rsiPrimary <= rsiMax and close > smaTrend and close > vwapValue and rvolValue > rvolThreshold and obv > obvSma and macdHist > 0 and macdLine > macdSignal and not rsiBearDiv

exitTrend = emaFast < emaSlow
exitMomentum = macdHist < 0 and macdLine < macdSignal
exitVwap = ta.crossunder(close, vwapValue)
exitObv = ta.crossunder(obv, obvSma)
exitCondition = exitTrend or exitMomentum or exitVwap or exitObv

if entryCondition and strategy.position_size <= 0
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)

if strategy.position_size > 0
stopPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - hardStopPct / 100)
limitPrice = strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + profitTargetPct / 100)
trailOffset = strategy.position_avg_price * (trailStopPct / 100)
strategy.exit("Risk Exit", "Long", stop=stopPrice, limit=limitPrice, trail_offset=trailOffset)

if exitCondition and strategy.position_size > 0
strategy.close("Long", comment="Institutional Exit")

plot(emaFast, color=color.new(color.green, 0), title="EMA 20")
plot(emaSlow, color=color.new(color.orange, 0), title="EMA 50")
plot(smaTrend, color=color.new(color.gray, 0), title="SMA 200")
plot(vwapValue, color=color.new(color.cyan, 0), linewidth=2, title="VWAP")
plot(twapValue, color=color.new(color.aqua, 25), linewidth=2, title="TWAP")

plot(obv, title="OBV", color=obv > obvSma ? color.new(color.green, 0) : color.new(color.red, 0), display=display.none)
plot(obvSma, title="OBV SMA", color=color.new(color.yellow, 0), display=display.none)

plot(rsiPrimary, title="RSI 14", color=color.new(color.blue, 0), display=display.none)
plot(rsiFast, title="RSI 7", color=color.new(color.purple, 0), display=display.none)
plot(rsiSlow, title="RSI 21", color=color.new(color.teal, 0), display=display.none)

plot(macdLine, title="MACD", color=color.new(color.blue, 0), display=display.none)
plot(macdSignal, title="MACD Signal", color=color.new(color.orange, 0), display=display.none)
plot(macdHist, title="MACD Histogram", color=macdHist >= 0 ? color.new(color.green, 0) : color.new(color.red, 0), style=plot.style_histogram, display=display.none)
hline(0, "MACD Zero", color=color.new(color.gray, 0), linestyle=hline.style_dotted)

bgcolor(rvolValue > rvolThreshold ? color.new(color.lime, 88) : na, title="RVOL Surge")

plotshape(ta.cross(close, vwapValue), title="VWAP Cross", style=shape.triangleup, color=color.cyan, size=size.tiny, location=location.belowbar, text="VWAP")
plotshape(exitObv, title="OBV Reversal", style=shape.triangledown, color=color.red, size=size.tiny, location=location.abovebar, text="OBV")
plotshape(macdBearDiv, title="MACD Divergence", style=shape.labeldown, color=color.orange, size=size.tiny, location=location.abovebar, text="MACD Div")

alertcondition(ta.cross(close, vwapValue), title="VWAP Cross Alert", message="Price crossed VWAP")
alertcondition(exitObv, title="OBV Reversal Alert", message="OBV crossed below OBV SMA")
alertcondition(macdBearDiv, title="MACD Divergence Alert", message="Bearish MACD divergence detected")
alertcondition(entryCondition, title="Institutional Long Entry", message="Institutional long setup confirmed")
alertcondition(exitCondition, title="Institutional Exit", message="Institutional exit setup confirmed")
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